Farmland Values Cooling Off

It's upon us!  That long stretch of a dramatic rise in land values is finally slowing down.  According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City land in Nebraska, Kansas, Wyoming, Montana, Colorado, Oklahoma and Western Missouri have all cooled off.  This could trigger what I believe is a farmland gold rush for buyers. 

How's That? 

Many farmers have been holding on to their land in hopes to selling it at it's highest value well beyond the normal age a farmer does.  Well, those values have peaked, leveled out and are now starting to come back down a bit.  As of now, there are fewer farms for sale on the market.  I expect a dramatic increase here quickly with farms selling at a dramatic pace.  So if you're an investor looking to get in, now is an excellent time to be brushing up and learning about the cropland business.

Where Should I Go?

There are many websites you can go to to learn.  My favorite is Brownfield Ag News.  This is where you can keep up with all things agricultural.  I especially like it has a spot where the commodity prices are constantly up to date.  You can also download and app for your smart phone as well.

Another good place is Farmers National Company.  Here is a one stop shop for all things agricultural and they do an excellent job spelling things out in laymen's terms to better help you understand.  Also, they are the largest farm management company in the United States.  So, find a local manager in your area using there site and sit down and talk with him.  That the best way to learn.

And then finally, talk to a local real estate agent to help you look and make decisions.  Farmers National Company also does this.  Depending on where you're looking I highly suggest Farmers National Kansas City.  If anything, they can help point you in the right direction.

What About a Bubble?

This is a common fear people have.  While it is a possibility it's highly unlikely.  Most farms were bought by cash buyers.  It was rare someone bought a farm with loaned money.  The reason is farmland prices always go up and rarely fall back.  Now we are experiencing a slow down and may experience a lowering in price, but that won't be the trend for long.  As a matter of fact, what will most likely happen is instead of farm prices rising at a clip of 25% per year.  They are more likely to rise at 5% per year.  So there won't be any collapse like the housing market which was primarily driven by debt.

If you wish to read the complete survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City just click on the link below.

Fed Reserve of KC Survey